Wednesday, October 19, 2016

चीनी लेखक के अनुसार मोदी ने भारत को सक्रिय किया

India uses BRICS to outmaneuver Pakistan
By Shi Lancha Source:Global Times Published: 2016/10/18 21:13:39

Over the weekend, the 8th BRICS summit was held in the Indian seaside resort state Goa. The leaders of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa met to discuss issues ranging from regional security, to financial infrastructure, to global economic and financial governance. India, which assumed BRICS chairmanship on February 15 this year, hosted the summit with the core theme "building responsive, inclusive and collective solutions."

During the summit, India presented itself as a bright spot in a bloc whose other members have been buffeted by economic headwinds to varying degrees. With a GDP growth rate of 7.5 percent in 2015 against a rather gloomy global backdrop, India has replaced China as the world's fastest-growing large economy.

Only three years ago, India was still labeled as one of the "RIBS," whose feeble and volatile growth contrasted sharply to China's robust performance. Nowadays, the Russian and Brazilian economies have deteriorated into recession, South Africa struggles to avoid the same fate, and China's decades-long economic boom has geared down. But India finds confidence in talking about economic matters. After all, the setbacks undergone by its fellow countries made India's recent economic achievements shine even brighter in comparison.

Although India's domestic reforms have only made limited inroads in key areas such as land acquisition and labor regulation, an aspirant Modi equipped with newly gained confidence on India's growth prospects has clearly made the country more proactive. For India, this BRICS summit has been a wonderful platform to coordinate efforts in reforming current global economic and finance governance.



This effect becomes more visible as the operationalization of the New Development Bank (NDB) and the Contingent Reserve Arrangement (CRA) have put pressures on the current international finance system, giving India tangible leverage in demanding relevant reforms. For example, the Goa Declaration urges advanced European economies to cede two chairs on the Executive Board of the IMF, to which India may have an upper hand to claim thanks to its huge potential and robust growth recently.

The BRICS summit brings India an ideal mechanism to articulate and push for its reformist demands together with like-minded countries. This common front became particularly valuable for New Delhi, especially as its arduous bids for Nuclear Suppliers Group's (NSG) membership as well as for a permanent seat on an enlarged United Nation Security Council have both met frustration.

A major difference between the Goa summit and the previous ones was that New Delhi put the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC) in tandem with the BRICS meeting.

Given the uneasy background of Indo-Pakistani tension, which escalated last month, India's inclusion of BIMSTEC bore even thicker geostrategic connotations. As India invited all countries in the region except Pakistan, it in effect consigned Pakistan to be a regional pariah.

In the wake of a cross-border strike killing 19 Indian soldiers, New Delhi withdrew from the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) which was to be held in November in Pakistan. The collapse of the SAARC summit presented India a rare opportunity to get rid of any constraints Islamabad may have over the regional group, as the same group would soon gather in Goa in the absence of Pakistan.

By bringing regional countries - Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Myanmar, Nepal and Bhutan - together with the major emerging economies of the BRICS, India breathed legitimacy and substance into an otherwise hallow and moribund acronym organization. While the rest of the BRICS members would never openly endorse either side in the Indo-Pakistan tension, India in a way secured its stance vis-à-vis Pakistan by taking advantages of its agenda-setting powers for the summits.

While the prospect of BIMSTEC as a more effective alternative to SAARC remains ambiguous, a subcontinent grouping without Pakistan balancing and checking a dominant India may well raise suspicions and fear for smaller countries.

The author is a visiting scholar at Tsinghua University. opinion@globaltimes.com.cn Follow us on Twitter @GTopinion

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